欧奈尔的RPS指标如何使用到股票预测

前言

1988年，欧奈尔将他的投资理念写成了《笑傲股市How to Make Money in Stocks》。书中总结了选股模式CANSLIM模型，每一个字母都代表一种尚未发动大涨势的潜在优质股的特征。

视频讲解

如何结合欧奈尔的RPS指标开发策略

代码示例

# 回测引擎：初始化函数，只执行一次
def m19_initialize_bigquant_run(context):
    # 加载预测数据
    context.ranker_prediction = context.options['data'].read_df()

    # 系统已经设置了默认的交易手续费和滑点，要修改手续费可使用如下函数
    context.set_commission(PerOrder(buy_cost=0.0003, sell_cost=0.0013, min_cost=5))
    # 预测数据，通过options传入进来，使用 read_df 函数，加载到内存 (DataFrame)
    # 设置买入的股票数量，这里买入预测股票列表排名靠前的5只
    stock_count = 5
    # 每只的股票的权重，如下的权重分配会使得靠前的股票分配多一点的资金，[0.339160, 0.213986, 0.169580, ..]
    context.stock_weights = T.norm([1 / math.log(i + 2) for i in range(0, stock_count)])
    # 设置每只股票占用的最大资金比例
    context.max_cash_per_instrument = 0.2
    context.options['hold_days'] = 5

# 回测引擎：每日数据处理函数，每天执行一次
def m19_handle_data_bigquant_run(context, data):
    # 按日期过滤得到今日的预测数据
    today = data.current_dt.strftime('%Y-%m-%d')
    ranker_prediction = context.ranker_prediction[
        context.ranker_prediction.date == today]

    # 1. 资金分配
    # 平均持仓时间是hold_days，每日都将买入股票，每日预期使用 1/hold_days 的资金
    # 实际操作中，会存在一定的买入误差，所以在前hold_days天，等量使用资金；之后，尽量使用剩余资金（这里设置最多用等量的1.5倍）
    is_staging = context.trading_day_index < context.options['hold_days'] # 是否在建仓期间（前 hold_days 天）
    cash_avg = context.portfolio.portfolio_value / context.options['hold_days']
    cash_for_buy = min(context.portfolio.cash, (1 if is_staging else 1.5) * cash_avg)
    cash_for_sell = cash_avg - (context.portfolio.cash - cash_for_buy)
    positions = {e.symbol: p.amount * p.last_sale_price
                 for e, p in context.portfolio.positions.items()}

    #--------------------------START：持有固定天数卖出(不含建仓期)-----------
    current_stopdays_stock = []
    positions_lastdate = {e.symbol:p.last_sale_date for e,p in context.portfolio.positions.items()}
    # 不是建仓期（在前hold_days属于建仓期）
    if not is_staging:
        for instrument in positions.keys():
            #使用交易天数
            dt = pd.to_datetime(D.trading_days(end_date = today).iloc[-context.options['hold_days']].values[0])
            if  pd.to_datetime(positions_lastdate[instrument].strftime('%Y-%m-%d')) <= dt and data.can_trade(context.symbol(instrument)):
                context.order_target_percent(context.symbol(instrument), 0)
                cash_for_sell -= positions[instrument]
    #-------------------------  END:持有固定天数卖出-----------------------

    # 2. 生成卖出订单：hold_days天之后才开始卖出；对持仓的股票，按机器学习算法预测的排序末位淘汰
    if not is_staging and cash_for_sell > 0:
        equities = {e.symbol: e for e, p in context.portfolio.positions.items()}
        instruments = list(reversed(list(ranker_prediction.instrument[ranker_prediction.instrument.apply(
                lambda x: x in equities)])))

        for instrument in instruments:
            context.order_target(context.symbol(instrument), 0)
            cash_for_sell -= positions[instrument]
            if cash_for_sell <= 0:
                break

    # 3. 生成买入订单：按机器学习算法预测的排序，买入前面的stock_count只股票
    buy_cash_weights = context.stock_weights
    buy_instruments = list(ranker_prediction.instrument[:len(buy_cash_weights)])
    max_cash_per_instrument = context.portfolio.portfolio_value * context.max_cash_per_instrument
    for i, instrument in enumerate(buy_instruments):
        cash = cash_for_buy * buy_cash_weights[i]
        if cash > max_cash_per_instrument - positions.get(instrument, 0):
            # 确保股票持仓量不会超过每次股票最大的占用资金量
            cash = max_cash_per_instrument - positions.get(instrument, 0)
        if cash > 0:
            context.order_value(context.symbol(instrument), cash)

# 回测引擎：准备数据，只执行一次
def m19_prepare_bigquant_run(context):
    pass

m1 = M.instruments.v2(
    start_date='2019-01-01',
    end_date='2021-12-31',
    market='CN_STOCK_A',
    instrument_list='',
    max_count=0
)

m2 = M.advanced_auto_labeler.v2(
    instruments=m1.data,
    label_expr="""# #号开始的表示注释
# 0. 每行一个，顺序执行，从第二个开始，可以使用label字段
# 1. 可用数据字段见 https://bigquant.com/docs/develop/datasource/deprecated/history_data.html
#   添加benchmark_前缀，可使用对应的benchmark数据
# 2. 可用操作符和函数见 `表达式引擎 <https://bigquant.com/docs/develop/bigexpr/usage.html>`_

# 计算收益：5日收盘价(作为卖出价格)除以明日开盘价(作为买入价格)
shift(close, -5) / shift(open, -1)

# 极值处理：用1%和99%分位的值做clip
clip(label, all_quantile(label, 0.01), all_quantile(label, 0.99))

# 将分数映射到分类，这里使用20个分类
all_wbins(label, 20)

# 过滤掉一字涨停的情况 (设置label为NaN，在后续处理和训练中会忽略NaN的label)
where(shift(high, -1) == shift(low, -1), NaN, label)
""",
    start_date='',
    end_date='',
    benchmark='000300.HIX',
    drop_na_label=True,
    cast_label_int=True
)

m3 = M.input_features.v1(
    features="""# #号开始的表示注释
# 多个特征，每行一个，可以包含基础特征和衍生特征
return_5
return_10
return_20
avg_amount_0/avg_amount_5
avg_amount_5/avg_amount_20
rank_avg_amount_0/rank_avg_amount_5
rank_avg_amount_5/rank_avg_amount_10
rank_return_0
rank_return_5
rank_return_10
rank_return_0/rank_return_5
rank_return_5/rank_return_10
pe_ttm_0
"""
)

m4 = M.input_features.v1(
    features_ds=m3.data,
    features="""# _PRS250=(close_0-shift(close_0,250))/shift(close_0,250)
# PRS250=rank(_PRS250)
# _PRS120=(close_0-shift(close_0,120))/shift(close_0,120)
# PRS120=rank(_PRS120)
# t1=where(PRS250<0.1,1,0)
# t2=where(PRS120<0.1,1,0)
# flag=where(max(t1,t2)==1,1,0)

PRS10=rank(return_10)
PRS20=rank(return_20)
PRS60=rank(return_60)

t1=where(PRS10<0.1,1,0)
t2=where(PRS20<0.1,1,0)
t3=where(PRS60<0.1,1,0)
flag=where(max(t1,t2,t3)==1,1,0)

rank_fs_roe_ttm_0"""
)

m15 = M.general_feature_extractor.v7(
    instruments=m1.data,
    features=m3.data,
    start_date='',
    end_date='',
    before_start_days=90
)

m16 = M.derived_feature_extractor.v3(
    input_data=m15.data,
    features=m3.data,
    date_col='date',
    instrument_col='instrument',
    drop_na=False,
    remove_extra_columns=False
)

m7 = M.join.v3(
    data1=m2.data,
    data2=m16.data,
    on='date,instrument',
    how='inner',
    sort=False
)

m13 = M.dropnan.v1(
    input_data=m7.data
)

m6 = M.stock_ranker_train.v6(
    training_ds=m13.data,
    features=m3.data,
    learning_algorithm='排序',
    number_of_leaves=30,
    minimum_docs_per_leaf=1000,
    number_of_trees=20,
    learning_rate=0.1,
    max_bins=1023,
    feature_fraction=1,
    data_row_fraction=1,
    plot_charts=True,
    ndcg_discount_base=1,
    m_lazy_run=False
)

m9 = M.instruments.v2(
    start_date=T.live_run_param('trading_date', '2022-01-01'),
    end_date=T.live_run_param('trading_date', '2022-11-02'),
    market='CN_STOCK_A',
    instrument_list='',
    max_count=0
)

m17 = M.general_feature_extractor.v7(
    instruments=m9.data,
    features=m4.data,
    start_date='',
    end_date='',
    before_start_days=400
)

m18 = M.derived_feature_extractor.v3(
    input_data=m17.data,
    features=m4.data,
    date_col='date',
    instrument_col='instrument',
    drop_na=False,
    remove_extra_columns=False
)

m10 = M.filter.v3(
    input_data=m18.data,
    expr='flag!=1 and rank_fs_roe_ttm_0>0.1',
    output_left_data=False
)

m14 = M.dropnan.v1(
    input_data=m10.data
)

m8 = M.stock_ranker_predict.v5(
    model=m6.model,
    data=m14.data,
    m_lazy_run=False
)

m19 = M.trade.v4(
    instruments=m9.data,
    options_data=m8.predictions,
    start_date='',
    end_date='',
    initialize=m19_initialize_bigquant_run,
    handle_data=m19_handle_data_bigquant_run,
    prepare=m19_prepare_bigquant_run,
    volume_limit=0.025,
    order_price_field_buy='open',
    order_price_field_sell='close',
    capital_base=1000000,
    auto_cancel_non_tradable_orders=True,
    data_frequency='daily',
    price_type='真实价格',
    product_type='股票',
    plot_charts=True,
    backtest_only=False,
    benchmark='000300.HIX'

可直接拷贝到BigQuant平台上运行