Giant rocks from space are falling from the sky more than they used to, but don't worry.

For the past 290 million years, large asteroids have been crashing into Earth more than twice as often as they did in the previous 700 million years, according to a new study in Thursday's journal Science.

But no need to cast a wary glance up. Asteroids still only smack Earth on average every million or few million years, even with the increased crash rate. NASA's list of potential big space rock crashes shows no pending major threats. The biggest known risk is a 4,200-foot (1.3-km) wide asteroid with a 99.988 percent chance that it will miss Earth when it whizzes very near here in 861 years.

Tell that to the dinosaurs. Most scientists think dinosaurs and a lot of other species went extinct after a huge space rock crashed into Central America about 65 million years ago.

"It's just a game of probabilities," said study lead author Sara Mazrouei, a University of Toronto planetary scientist. "These events are still rare and far between that I'm not too worried about it."

Mazrouei and colleagues in the United Kingdom and United States compiled a list of impact craters on Earth and the moon that were larger than 12 miles (20 km) wide and came up with the dates of them. It takes a space rock that's half a mile (800 meters) wide to create holes that big.

The team counted 29 craters that were no older than 290 million years and nine between 291 million years and 650 million years old.

But we can see relatively few big craters on Earth because the planet is more than 70 percent ocean and past glaciers smoothed out some holes, said University of Toronto planetary scientist Rebecca Ghent, a study co-author.

Extrapolating for what can't be seen brings the total to about 260 space crashes on Earth in the last 290 million years. Adding in other factors, the science team determined that the current space crash rate is 2.6 times more than the previous 700 million years.

Craters older than 650 million years are mostly wiped off on Earth by glacial forces so the scientists used impact craters on the nearby moon as a stand-in for holes between 650 million and 1 billion years old. The moon is a good guide for estimating Earth crashes, because it is close enough to be in the same bombardment path and its craters last longer.

"Perhaps an asteroid family was broken up in the asteroid belt," Mazrouei speculated. The space rocks then headed toward the Earth and moon, and the planet got slightly more because it is a bigger target and it has higher gravity, Ghent said.

Outside scientists are split about the research. Jay Melosh at Purdue said he found the number of craters too small to come to a reasonable conclusion, but Harvard's Avi Loeb said the case was convincing.

Humans might not have emerged without mass extinctions from space rocks about 250 million and 65 million years ago, Loeb said in an email, adding, "but this enhanced impact rate poses a threat for the next mass extinction event, which we should watch for and attempt to avoid with the aid of technology."

"This demonstrates how arbitrary and fragile human life is," Loeb wrote.

L240的更多相关文章

  1. 你必须收藏的Github技巧

    一秒钟把Github项目变成前端网站 GitHub Pages大家可能都知道,常用的做法,是建立一个gh-pages的分支,通过setting里的设置的GitHub Pages模块可以自动创建该项目的 ...

  2. github使用技巧

    转自:一秒钟把Github项目变成前端网站 后面加了一些自己的东西 一秒钟把Github项目变成前端网站 GitHub Pages大家可能都知道,常用的做法,是建立一个gh-pages的分支,通过se ...

  3. Redhat Linux内核升级全记录(转)

        http://www.sina.com.cn 2001/06/15 15:38 中国电脑教育报 李红   Redhat Linux因为比较容易上手,所以用户很多.它系统配置完善,预装了丰富的应 ...

  4. Linux进程调度器的设计--Linux进程的管理与调度(十七)

    1 前景回顾 1.1 进程调度 内存中保存了对每个进程的唯一描述, 并通过若干结构与其他进程连接起来. 调度器面对的情形就是这样, 其任务是在程序之间共享CPU时间, 创造并行执行的错觉, 该任务分为 ...

  5. C#如何在VS2015 2017版本中编写WPF UI界面引入第三方SVG图形

    原文:C#如何在VS2015 2017版本中编写WPF UI界面引入第三方SVG图形 在VS2015 2017版本中编写WPF UI界面引入第三方SVG图形     最近在写WPF界面的时候遇到一个情 ...

随机推荐

  1. vim E437: terminal capability "cm" required

    报错E437: terminal capability "cm" required 解决方法:# export TERM=xterm

  2. 【Python】【问题集锦】

    1. 用pycharm安装第三方包失败,报类似于“sort"的错误,就转战终端 2. Mac终端安装第三包失败,报类似于“ PermissionError: [Errno 13] Permi ...

  3. python 将列表中的字符串转为数字

    本文实例讲述了Python中列表元素转为数字的方法.分享给大家供大家参考,具体如下: 有一个数字字符的列表: numbers = ['1', '5', '10', '8'] 想要把每个元素转换为数字: ...

  4. .net Parallel并行使用

    因项目响应过慢,代码优化空间不大,在暂时无法调整系统架构的情况下,只有使用.NET中的TPL解决一些模块耗时过多的问题.但在使用过程中也碰到了一些问题,现在把它写下来,用于备忘. 1. Paralle ...

  5. js 转码思维

    <body> <script type="text/javascript"> // var el = document.createElement('scr ...

  6. Atcoder Yet Another Palindrome Partitioning(状压dp)

    Atcoder Yet Another Palindrome Partitioning 思路: 一个字符串满足条件的情况是奇数字母个数小于等于1,也就是异或起来是1<<j(0<=j& ...

  7. HTTP协议的请求与响应和CSS属性和定位

    HTTP协议的请求与响应和CSS属性和定位 一.HTTP协议 1.1 HTTP定义 HTTP(Hypertext Transport Protocol),超文本传输协议. 一种详细规定了浏览器和web ...

  8. 新概念 Lesson 1 Excuse me!

    xu言: 从哪里跌倒,就从哪里爬起来.希望这次真的能够坚持下去... standard  ['stændəd]    pronunciation [prə,nʌnsɪ'eɪʃ(ə)n] basic   ...

  9. Windows 环境下安装 Oracle JDK

    本页面中描述了如何在 Window 环境下安装 Oracle JDK. 我们使用的版本是 Window 10,我们需要安装的版本是 Oracle JDK 8u191. 检查当前版本 在进行新的 JDK ...

  10. Tomcat报错Exception: java.lang.OutOfMemoryError

    进入Tomcat中的/bin/catalina.sh 在catalina.sh中echo"Using CATALINA_BASE"之前的一行添加如下代码: JAVA_OPTS=&q ...